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☰ Categories · Qubit Milestones
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Qubit Milestones
Qubit Milestones
Closes in 2377d 5h
Will a quantum computer with at least 10,000 physical qubits be demonstrated before January 1, 2033?
Yes
6.01x
17%
No
1.20x
83%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Qubit Milestones
Closes in 916d 5h
Will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 physical qubits and an average two-qubit gate fidelity greater than 99.5% be demonstrated before January 1, 2029?
Yes
3.76x
27%
No
1.36x
73%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Qubit Milestones
Closes in 1646d 5h
Will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be demonstrated before January 1, 2031?
Yes
13.79x
7%
No
1.08x
93%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Qubit Milestones
Closes in 916d 5h
Will a quantum computer with at least 100 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated before January 1, 2029?
Yes
3.24x
31%
No
1.45x
69%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes