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☰ Categories · Compute & Hardware
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Compute & Hardware
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 275d 7h
Will Intel begin high-volume manufacturing of its 18A process by March 31, 2027?
Yes
2.22x
45%
No
1.82x
55%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will TSMC achieve a yield rate of at least 80% on its 2nm process by December 31, 2027?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 185d 7h
Will TSMC begin volume production of 2nm chips by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1.25x
80%
No
5.00x
20%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will TSMC begin risk production of its 1.4nm process by December 31, 2027?
Yes
2.86x
35%
No
1.54x
65%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will Intel Foundry secure a contract for its 18A node from at least one external customer by December 31, 2027?
Yes
2.00x
50%
No
2.00x
50%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 200d 7h
Will the average selling price of NVIDIA H100 GPUs on the secondary market be at least 10% lower in December 2026 compared to June 2026?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 216d 7h
Will AMD ship more than 200,000 MI300X GPUs in the second half of 2026?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 144d 7h
Will NVIDIA's Data Center revenue for fiscal Q3 2027 (quarter ending October 2026) exceed $30 billion?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 231d 7h
Will NVIDIA's share of the AI GPU market (by revenue) be above 85% in the fourth quarter of 2026?
Yes
1.43x
70%
No
3.33x
30%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 216d 7h
Will NVIDIA ship more than 1,000,000 Blackwell GPUs in the second half of 2026?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 216d 7h
Will NVIDIA ship more than 500,000 H100 GPUs in the second half of 2026 (July-December)?
Yes
2.86x
35%
No
1.54x
65%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will Google announce a next-generation TPU beyond the v5 series by December 31, 2027?
Yes
1.43x
70%
No
3.33x
30%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will AWS announce a new generation of its Trainium or Inferentia chips by December 31, 2027?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Compute & Hardware
Closes in 550d 7h
Will Microsoft announce a new generation of its Maia AI accelerator beyond Maia 100 by December 31, 2027?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
