Prediction Markets

Will a commercial quantum communication network be deployed in a major city before 2027-06-28?

Will a quantum computer with at least 100 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated before January 1, 2029?

Will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 physical qubits and an average two-qubit gate fidelity greater than 99.5% be demonstrated before January 1, 2029?

Will a quantum computer with at least 10,000 physical qubits be demonstrated before January 1, 2033?

Will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be demonstrated before January 1, 2031?

Will any research group demonstrate quantum supremacy on a computational problem before 2027-06-28?

Will a quantum computer demonstrate a provable advantage over classical algorithms in solving an optimization problem of industrial relevance before January 1, 2031?

Will a quantum computer demonstrate a practical advantage in a drug discovery application before January 1, 2031?