Prediction Markets

Will any AI system achieve a score of 90% or higher on the GPQA benchmark by 2027-06-28?

Will any AI model set a new state-of-the-art score on the full GLUE benchmark by 2027-06-28?

Will any AI system achieve expert-level performance (top 10th percentile of human experts) on the AP Physics C: Mechanics exam by 2027-06-28?

Will human-level Artificial General Intelligence be achieved by 2027-06-28?

What will be the median predicted year for human-level AGI on Metaculus as of 2027-06-28?

Will superintelligence (an AI that can far surpass human cognitive abilities across most domains) be achieved by 2027-06-28?

Will any AI model achieve a score of at least 90% on the MMLU benchmark by July 24, 2026?