Prediction Markets

Will the FTC investigate OpenAI for antitrust issues?

Will a court approve the merger between Spirit Airlines and JetBlue?

Will a U.S. federal court deny the FTC's request for a preliminary injunction to block the Kroger-Albertsons merger by July 20, 2026?

Will the FTC challenge the Kroger-Albertsons merger?

Will the European Commission order Google to sell parts of its ad tech business?

Will the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington favor the FTC in the FTC v. Amazon summary judgment motion?

Will the U.S. District Court for DC rule that Google illegally monopolized the digital advertising technology market in a decision issued before July 24, 2026?

Will the FTC fine Amazon for antitrust violations?

Will the California Privacy Protection Agency (CPPA) issue a formal enforcement action against a company in 2026?

Will a U.S. state that did not have a comprehensive privacy law before 2026 enact one in 2026?

Will the UK ICO fine Clearview AI for biometric data collection?

Will a state like California pass a stricter data privacy law?

Will the FTC fine a major tech company for violating children's privacy?

Will the court in SEC v. Coinbase rule in favor of the SEC on at least one claim before June 30, 2027?

Will the Office of Foreign Assets Control sanction a major cryptocurrency exchange like Binance?

Will the European Union finalize its Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation?

Will the SEC sue Coinbase for listing unregistered securities?

Will a federal court rule that Ripple's XRP is not a security?

Will Binance be found to have violated the terms of its 2023 settlement with the US DOJ before June 30, 2027?

Will the US Congress pass a bill that classifies digital assets as commodities before the end of 2027?

Will the EU-US Data Privacy Framework be invalidated by the Court of Justice of the European Union before 2028?

What will be the vote split in the Supreme Court's decision for the case on transgender student bathroom access in the 2026-2027 term?

Will the Supreme Court grant at least 5 emergency applications (e.g., stays or injunctions) during the 2026-2027 term?

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of a transgender student's right to use school bathrooms matching their gender identity in a case decided in the 2026-2027 term?

Will the US Copyright Office issue a final rule stating that AI-generated works can be copyrighted without minimal human authorship before December 31, 2027?

Will a federal appellate court rule that a major cryptocurrency is not a security in a ruling related to securities law before June 30, 2027?

Will the US District Court for the District of Columbia impose a structural remedy in the United States v. Google LLC antitrust case before 1 July 2027?

Will the US District Court for the Western District of Washington issue a final judgment in favor of the FTC in the case FTC v. Amazon.com, Inc. before 1 July 2027?

Will the US District Court for the District of Columbia issue a final judgment in favor of the Federal Trade Commission in the case FTC v. Meta Platforms Inc. before 1 January 2028?

Will the US District Court for the District of New Jersey issue a final judgment in favor of the US Department of Justice in the case United States v. Apple Inc. before 1 January 2028?

Will the US Congress extend the copyright term before January 1, 2028?

Will a US court set a FRAND rate for SEPs in the case of InterDigital v. Lenovo before June 30, 2027?

Will a U.S. federal appellate court issue a ruling in 2026 that holds a DeFi protocol liable for user losses?

Will a nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court be confirmed by the Senate during calendar year 2027?

Will a sitting U.S. Supreme Court justice announce their retirement from the Court before June 30, 2027?

Will the US Federal Trade Commission or Department of Justice file a lawsuit to block a merger transaction valued at $1 billion or more before 1 July 2027?

Will a US federal court issue a final decision blocking a merger transaction valued at over $1 billion during 2027?

Will the European Commission issue a binding compliance order under the Digital Markets Act to at least one gatekeeper platform before 1 January 2028?

Will the European Commission impose a fine of more than €1 billion on a gatekeeper platform for non-compliance with the Digital Markets Act before 1 January 2028?

Will the FDA approve the AI-powered cancer detection device PathAI-Dx for clinical use by July 24, 2026?

Will a federal court find that Google infringed on Oracle's Java APIs?

Will a court rule that AI-generated inventions can hold patents?

Will the Patent Trial and Appeal Board invalidate a key Moderna patent related to COVID-19 vaccines?

Will the European Patent Office grant a patent for an AI-discovered drug?

What will be the largest GDPR fine imposed in 2026 (in EUR)?

Which company will receive the largest GDPR fine in 2026?

Will the Supreme Court rule that the SEC's administrative proceedings are unconstitutional?

Will the Supreme Court rule that the state law banning abortion after 15 weeks is unconstitutional?

Will the U.S. Supreme Court uphold Florida's social media law in NetChoice v. Moody (2026 term)?