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☰ Categories · Ice & Oceans
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Ice & Oceans
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 185d 7h
Will at least one major ice shelf collapse occur in Antarctica in 2026?
Yes
6.67x
15%
No
1.18x
85%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 199d 7h
How much ice will Antarctica lose in 2026?
Less than 200 Gt
4.00x
25%
200 to 300 Gt
2.00x
50%
More than 300 Gt
4.00x
25%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 107d 7h
What will be the Arctic sea ice annual minimum extent in September 2026?
< 3.0 million km²
10.00x
10%
3.0 to 4.0 million km²
2.86x
35%
4.0 to 5.0 million km²
2.50x
40%
+1 more
0 cr vol
4 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 363d 7h
When will the first ice‑free Arctic summer occur?
2030–2039
6.67x
15%
2040–2049
3.33x
30%
2050–2059
3.33x
30%
+1 more
0 cr vol
4 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 107d 7h
Will the Arctic sea ice minimum extent in September 2026 set a new record low?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 27212d 7h
Will global mean sea level rise reach 1 meter by 2100?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 185d 7h
Will the global mean sea level rise acceleration in 2026 be positive?
Yes
1.25x
80%
No
5.00x
20%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 185d 7h
Will the global mean sea level rise rate in 2026 exceed 4.0 mm/yr?
Yes
1.82x
55%
No
2.22x
45%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 199d 7h
Will a peer-reviewed study published in 2026 explicitly project an AMOC collapse before the year 2100?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Ice & Oceans
Closes in 230d 7h
Will the IUCN Red List declare any species Extinct in the Wild in 2026?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes