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Emissions & Policy
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 185d 7h
Will at least 150 countries have adopted a net-zero by 2050 target by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1.54x
65%
No
2.86x
35%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 185d 7h
Will more than 50% of Fortune 500 companies have net-zero pledges by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1.82x
55%
No
2.22x
45%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 185d 7h
Will at least 25 countries have adopted a net-zero by 2060 or 2070 target by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 185d 7h
What will be the closing price of China ETS carbon allowances on December 31, 2026 (in CNY/ton)?
Below 80 CNY/ton
6.67x
15%
80-120 CNY/ton
2.00x
50%
Above 120 CNY/ton
2.86x
35%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 549d 7h
What will be the annual average EU ETS carbon price in 2027?
Less than €80
4.00x
25%
€80 to €120
2.00x
50%
Greater than €120
4.00x
25%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 549d 7h
Will the EU ETS carbon price reach €100 at any point in 2027?
Yes
2.86x
35%
No
1.54x
65%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 549d 7h
Will the UK ETS allowance price exceed £100 per ton by the end of 2027?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 549d 7h
Will the California Carbon Allowance price exceed $50 per ton by the end of 2027?
Yes
4.00x
25%
No
1.33x
75%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 550d 7h
Will US energy-related CO2 emissions be lower in 2027 than in 2026?
Yes
1.82x
55%
No
2.22x
45%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 363d 7h
Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 363d 7h
In which year will global fossil CO2 emissions peak?
2026
4.00x
25%
2027
3.33x
30%
2028
4.00x
25%
+1 more
0 cr vol
4 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 1645d 7h
Will the European Union achieve at least a 55% net reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 compared to 1990 levels?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 24d 7h
Will the European Parliament formally adopt a position calling for a 90% net greenhouse gas emission reduction target for 2040 before July 24, 2026?
Yes
1.82x
55%
No
2.22x
45%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Emissions & Policy
Closes in 24d 7h
Will the United States submit its 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) target to the UNFCCC before July 24, 2026?
Yes
1.18x
85%
No
6.67x
15%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
