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☰ Categories · Policy Outcomes
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Policy Outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 2d 7h
Will the Bank of England raise the bank rate at its July 2026 meeting?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the European Union adopt a legally binding target to eliminate all fossil fuel subsidies by 2030 before June 28, 2027?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 1646d 7h
Will the United States meet its 2030 Nationally Determined Contribution under the Paris Agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50-52% below 2005 levels by 2030?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. Congress pass a comprehensive 'Green New Deal' resolution or legislation by 2027-06-28?
Yes
6.67x
15%
No
1.18x
85%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the US president impose a new tariff of at least 10% on imports from China before 28 June 2027?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the US Senate ratify a new bilateral free trade agreement before 28 June 2027?
Yes
20.00x
5%
No
1.05x
95%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 551d 7h
Will the US top marginal individual income tax rate be raised above 37% before January 1, 2028?
Yes
2.22x
45%
No
1.82x
55%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the US Congress pass and the President sign into law an increase in the top capital gains tax rate before 28 June 2027?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the United States implement a federal wealth tax before 28 June 2027?
Yes
50.00x
2%
No
1.02x
98%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the US Department of Commerce expand export controls on advanced semiconductors to China before 28 June 2027?
Yes
1.54x
65%
No
2.86x
35%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the US Congress expand the number of drugs subject to Medicare price negotiation before 28 June 2027?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. Congress pass a law creating a pathway to citizenship for unauthorized immigrants currently in the United States by 2027-06-28?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will any US state government enact a universal healthcare coverage law before 28 June 2027?
Yes
50.00x
2%
No
1.02x
98%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation to make community college tuition-free nationwide by 2027-06-28?
Yes
2.86x
35%
No
1.54x
65%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. federal government implement a national carbon tax at a rate of at least $20 per metric ton of CO2 equivalent by 2027-06-28?
Yes
10.00x
10%
No
1.11x
90%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will any US state adopt a public option health insurance plan for all residents before 28 June 2027?
Yes
10.00x
10%
No
1.11x
90%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. federal government complete an additional 100 miles of new border wall construction on the southern border by 2027-06-28?
Yes
6.67x
15%
No
1.18x
85%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Policy Outcomes
Closes in 364d 7h
Will the U.S. Department of Homeland Security significantly change asylum processing procedures by 2027-06-28?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes