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Launch & Access
Launch & Access
Closes in 199d 7h
What percentage of SpaceX Falcon 9 fairings will be successfully recovered in the 2026 calendar year?
<85%
10.00x
10%
85%-95%
3.33x
30%
>95%
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 550d 7h
Will SpaceX achieve a turnaround time of less than 48 hours for a Starship launch by December 31, 2027?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 25d 7h
Will the ULA Vulcan Centaur complete its second certification flight (Cert-2) before July 24, 2026?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 25d 7h
Will the SpaceX Starship achieve its first successful orbital insertion and landing in a test flight before July 24, 2026?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 25d 7h
Will Rocket Lab increase its total Electron launches to 60 before July 24, 2026?
Yes
1.43x
70%
No
3.33x
30%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 364d 7h
Will Dream Chaser be in operational service by 28 June 2027?
Yes
6.67x
15%
No
1.18x
85%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 364d 7h
Will Sierra Space's Dream Chaser achieve its first orbital flight by 28 June 2027?
Yes
2.86x
35%
No
1.54x
65%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 565d 7h
How many orbital Starship launches will SpaceX conduct in 2027?
0-5
10.00x
10%
6-15
2.00x
50%
16+
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Launch & Access
Closes in 565d 7h
Will the global success rate for orbital launches in 2027 exceed 95%?
Yes
1.82x
55%
No
2.22x
45%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes