Prediction Markets

Will the World Health Statistics 2028 report a global prevalence of anxiety disorders higher than 4.0%?

Will the World Health Statistics 2028 report a global prevalence of depressive disorders higher than 4.2%?

Will the US Food and Drug Administration grant breakthrough therapy designation to more than 45 new drugs in 2026?

Will the US Food and Drug Administration approve at least one new molecular entity for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease in 2026?

Will the US Food and Drug Administration approve more than 45 new molecular entities in 2026?

Will the National Institutes of Health announce a new large-scale clinical study on long COVID by July 24, 2026?

Will the WHO declare the end of the mpox Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2027-06-28?

Will the WHO declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2027-06-28?

Will the European Medicines Agency approve more than 40 new active substances in 2026?

What will be the percentage of successfully replicated studies in the next Reproducibility Project: Psychology?

Will the phase 3 clinical trial of olpasiran (LY3473329) for reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events meet its primary endpoint by January 31, 2027?

Will the phase 3 clinical trial of NTLA-2001 (NCT04601051) for hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis meet its primary endpoint by June 30, 2027?

Will a material be confirmed to exhibit superconductivity above 273 K (0°C) at ambient pressure by 2027-06-28?

Will LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA announce a gravitational wave detection from a source class not previously confirmed by 2027-06-28?

Will the WHO designate a new Variant of Concern (VOC) for COVID-19 before 2027-06-28?

Will Omicron lineage still be the globally dominant variant of SARS-CoV-2 as of 2027-06-28?

Will the average life expectancy in East Asia and the Pacific exceed that in Europe and Central Asia in 2027?

Will the World Health Organization estimate that global life expectancy at birth in 2026 is at least 73.5 years?

Will the Blue Zones organization officially designate a new Blue Zone region by December 31, 2027?

Will the U.S. FDA approve a psilocybin-based drug for any medical condition by December 31, 2028?

Will the U.S. FDA approve MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD by December 31, 2028?

Will the Phase 3 trial of 'GB-005' for moderate-to-severe acne meet its co-primary endpoints in a company press release by July 24, 2026?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify a new diagnostic test for tuberculosis by July 24, 2026?

Will the FDA approve the first vaccine for Epstein-Barr virus by July 24, 2026?

Will the European Medicines Agency grant Priority Medicines (PRIME) designation for a new treatment for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis by July 24, 2026?

What will be the highest energy density achieved by a commercially available battery pack by 2027-06-28?

What will be the number of global daily new COVID-19 cases on 2027-06-28?

Will the World Health Organization report that global excess mortality in 2026 exceeded 5 million deaths relative to the 2015-2019 baseline?

Will cumulative global COVID-19 deaths exceed 8 million by 2027-06-28?

Will cumulative global COVID-19 cases exceed 800 million by 2027-06-28?

Will a commercially available EV battery achieve a full charge (0-100%) in less than 10 minutes by 2027-06-28?

Will the cost of green hydrogen production fall below $2 per kilogram by 2027-06-28?

Which research field will the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine be awarded in?

Which field will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics?

Which field will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry?

Will the existence of the axion be experimentally confirmed by June 2027?

Will the P vs NP problem be solved by June 2027?

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved by June 2027?

How many gravitational wave events will LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA report in the 12 months ending on 2027-06-28?

Will a space-based or ground-based observatory report new indirect evidence for dark matter with statistical significance exceeding 5 sigma by 2027-06-28?

What will be the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) of the current COVID-19 vaccine against the dominant variant as of 2027-06-28?

Will an Earth-sized planet in the habitable zone of a Sun-like star be discovered by June 2027?

Will a biosignature gas be detected in the atmosphere of an exoplanet by June 2027?