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☰ Categories · Aviation
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Aviation
Aviation
Closes in 729d 16h
Will the FAA issue type certification for a supersonic commercial aircraft (e.g., Boom Overture) by June 28, 2028?
Yes
10.00x
10%
No
1.11x
90%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 1094d 16h
Will commercial supersonic passenger service begin (e.g., with Boom Overture) before June 28, 2029?
Yes
20.00x
5%
No
1.05x
95%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 363d 16h
Will the FAA issue type certification for at least one eVTOL aircraft (e.g., Joby or Archer) by June 28, 2027?
Yes
1.67x
60%
No
2.50x
40%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 363d 16h
Will a major US airline (ranked in top 10 by passenger traffic) file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy between July 1, 2026 and June 30, 2027?
Yes
5.00x
20%
No
1.25x
80%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 729d 16h
Will any eVTOL aircraft begin commercial passenger operations (revenue flights) before June 28, 2028?
Yes
2.50x
40%
No
1.67x
60%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 19d 7h
Will the total value of confirmed aircraft orders at the 2026 Farnborough Airshow exceed $100 billion?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 15d 7h
Will Boeing deliver the first 777X aircraft to a customer by July 15, 2026?
Yes
3.33x
30%
No
1.43x
70%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 564d 7h
What will be the battery electric vehicle (BEV) share of new car sales in the United States in calendar year 2027?
<10%
5.00x
20%
10% to 19%
1.67x
60%
≥20%
5.00x
20%
0 cr vol
3 outcomes
Aviation
Closes in 363d 16h
Will Boeing or Airbus announce a single order of 200 or more aircraft between July 1, 2026 and June 30, 2027?
Yes
2.00x
50%
No
2.00x
50%
0 cr vol
2 outcomes
