Will the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designate at least one new tropical or subtropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin between July 1, 2026 and July 20, 2026?

Resolves Yes if Resolves Yes if the NHC issues its first advisory for a newly formed tropical or subtropical storm (winds >= 39 mph) in the Atlantic between 00:00 UTC July 1 and 23:59 UTC July 20, 2026. Does not include pre-existing systems or post-tropical cyclones.

Outcome verified from nhc.noaa.gov.

1. Market open