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Resolves Yes if the European Council of heads of state or government formally agrees to convene a convention under Article 48 TEU to propose treaty amendments, on or before the close date.
Resolves Yes if Resolves Yes if the European Council of heads of state or government formally agrees to convene a convention under Article 48 TEU to propose treaty amendments, on or before the close date.
Outcome verified from consilium.europa.eu.
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The European Council has not convened a convention under Article 48 TEU since 2003, but recent discussions on EU enlargement and governance reform have revived interest in treaty change. Given the requirement for a simple majority and the political calendar including the 2027 French presidential election, the likelihood of a formal decision within the next year remains modest. Public base rates and current political constraints suggest a low but non-negligible probability.
