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This market resolves to 'Yes' if OpenAI announces the public launch of GPT-5 on or before July 24, 2026. Otherwise, no.
Resolves Yes if This market resolves to 'Yes' if OpenAI announces the public launch of GPT-5 on or before July 24, 2026. Otherwise, no.
Outcome verified from openai.com.
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As of June 24, 2026, there is exactly one month until the deadline, with no official confirmation or strong leaks about a GPT-5 launch. OpenAI has sometimes announced models on short notice, but the absence of public signals in the final month reduces the probability. Overall, the likelihood is modest given the tight window and typical development timelines.
