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Resolves based on official Labour Party website confirmation of the leader on that date.
Resolves Yes if Resolves based on official Labour Party website confirmation of the leader on that date.
Outcome verified from labour.org.uk.
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Keir Starmer is currently the Prime Minister and Labour Party leader, with no credible internal challenges or election defeats expected before the target date. Historical base rates for party leaders in government show very high retention over one-year horizons, though low-probability events like scandal or health issues remain possible.
