Resolves Yes if the Global Carbon Project's final estimate of total anthropogenic CO2 emissions for 2026 exceeds 40 Gt CO2.
Resolves Yes if Resolves Yes if the Global Carbon Project's final estimate of total anthropogenic CO2 emissions for 2026 exceeds 40 Gt CO2.
Outcome verified from globalcarbonbudget.org.
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Global anthropogenic CO2 emissions have consistently exceeded 40 Gt since 2022, with 2024 estimates around 41.6 Gt. The trend shows continued but slowing growth into 2025, and 2026 is expected to remain above 40 Gt absent a major global downturn. Thus, exceeding 40 Gt is highly likely.