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If no NBER recession peak is announced by 2028-01-01, resolves to 'No recession'. Otherwise, resolves based on the duration from peak to trough in quarters as determined by NBER; if NBER has not determined the trough by 2030-06-30, the market will be extended until the information is available.
Resolves Yes if If no NBER recession peak is announced by 2028-01-01, resolves to 'No recession'. Otherwise, resolves based on the duration from peak to trough in quarters as determined by NBER; if NBER has not determined the trough by 2030-06-30, the market will be extended until the information is available.
Outcome verified from nber.org.
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