Resolves Yes if Settles to the outcome the underlying source market resolves to.
Outcome verified from gamma-api.polymarket.com.
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Brazil's annual IPCA inflation has been above 4% in recent years, and as of mid-2026 the year-to-date trajectory likely points to a full-year figure still above the 3.50-3.99% band. Achieving that range would require a sharp deceleration in the second half, which is possible given tight monetary policy but is not the consensus expectation.
