Resolves Yes if Settles to the outcome the underlying source market resolves to.
Outcome verified from gamma-api.polymarket.com.
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China's annual CPI inflation has been below 1% in recent years and H1 2026 data shows it averaging around 0.8-1.0%. To reach the 1.6-2.0% range, H2 inflation would need to accelerate significantly above 2%, which is unlikely given persistent deflationary pressures and weak domestic demand. Thus, the probability of the outcome is estimated at around 15%.
