Resolves Yes if Settles to the outcome the underlying source market resolves to.
Outcome verified from gamma-api.polymarket.com.
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As of July 2026, preliminary data suggests Eurozone inflation for the first half is running below 3%, and ECB projections target around 2% for the full year. Historical base rates show annual inflation exceeding 3% only during oil shocks or supply crises, which are not currently indicated. Thus, the probability of hitting 3.1% remains low.
