How many teams are in the 2026 World Cup?

48 teams compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, expanded from 32 in previous tournaments — the largest World Cup in football history.

How does the 2026 World Cup group stage work?

The 48 teams are drawn into 12 groups of 4 teams each (Groups A through L). Each team plays 3 matches. The top 2 from each group (24 teams) advance, plus the 8 best third-place finishers, creating a 32-team knockout bracket.

How many matches are in the 2026 World Cup?

There are 104 matches total — 72 group stage matches and 32 knockout matches (Round of 32 through the Final). The tournament runs from June 11 to July 19, 2026.

Where is the 2026 World Cup hosted?

The 2026 World Cup is co-hosted by three nations: Canada, Mexico, and the United States. There are 16 host cities across the three countries, with the final at MetLife Stadium in New York/New Jersey.

Who will win the 2026 World Cup?

Our AI-powered prediction engine analyzes xG, FIFA rankings, recent form, and historical performance to forecast every match. Visit Bucephus for live probability updates throughout the tournament.

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SportsCloses in 10d

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.03x97%

Yes31.75x3%

145.9M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.81x6%

121.3M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.24x80%

Yes5.12x20%

120.6M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.03x98%

Yes40.82x2%

120.3M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.02x98%

Yes46.51x2%

119.2M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.47x68%

Yes3.12x32%

104.3M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.24x81%

Yes5.17x19%

95.9M vol2 outcomes

SportsCloses in 10d

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No1.19x84%

Yes6.23x16%

90.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

53.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

53.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

51.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

49.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

47.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

44.2M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

43.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

43.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

43.2M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

43M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

42.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

42.2M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

42.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

41.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

41.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

41.4M vol2 outcomes

Military StrikesCloses in 174d

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

40.2M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

39.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

38.3M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

38.2M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

38M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

37.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

35.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

35.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

35.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

35.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

35.4M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

34.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

33.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

33M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

32.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

32.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

32M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

31.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

31M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

28.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

28.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

28.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

28.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

27.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

26.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.23x82%

Yes5.42x18%

26.4M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

26.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

25.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

25.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

25.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.02x98%

Yes43.48x2%

24.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

22.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

22.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

22.2M vol2 outcomes

Reza PahlaviCloses in 174d

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

21.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

21.3M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

21M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

20.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

20M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

19.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

19.1M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

18.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

18.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

18.6M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

17.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

17.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

17.3M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.13x88%

Yes8.51x12%

17.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

16.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes74.07x1%

16.8M vol2 outcomes

PutinCloses in 175d

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

16.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

16.5M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

16.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes80.00x1%

15.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

14.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.02x98%

Yes41.67x2%

14.6M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.25x80%

Yes5.01x20%

14.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.68x59%

Yes2.46x41%

14.4M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.02x98%

Yes45.45x2%

14.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.94x14%

13.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.02x98%

Yes51.28x2%

13.6M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

13.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

13.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

13.4M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

13.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

12.7M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.61x7%

12.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.42x7%

12.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

12.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

12.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.03x12%

12.1M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

12M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No1.98x51%

Yes2.02x50%

11.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.04x97%

Yes28.57x4%

11.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.62x5%

11.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

11.5M vol2 outcomes

HFCCloses in 174d

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.39x6%

11.2M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.38x14%

11.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.02x98%

Yes64.52x2%

11M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

10.8M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

10.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

10.4M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

10.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

10.1M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

10.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes74.07x1%

10M vol2 outcomes

EpsteinCloses in 174d

Trump out as President before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

9.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

9.7M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.84x26%

9.7M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes80.00x1%

9.2M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.61x5%

9.1M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

9M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

8.8M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes68.97x1%

8.8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

8.4M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.10x4%

8.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

8.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

8.2M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

8M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

8M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

8M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes68.97x1%

8M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.83x8%

7.9M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

7.8M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

7.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

7.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.30x77%

Yes4.36x23%

7.3M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes1.63x62%

No2.60x39%

7.3M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

6.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.02x98%

Yes42.55x2%

6.9M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.03x97%

Yes36.36x3%

6.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

6.5M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

6.3M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

6.1M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes1.27x79%

No4.66x21%

5.9M vol2 outcomes

PrimariesCloses in 851d

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

5.7M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.61x7%

5M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.04x97%

Yes28.99x3%

5M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

4.8M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

4.8M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

4.7M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

4.6M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No1.99x50%

Yes2.01x50%

4.6M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

4.6M vol2 outcomes

Parent For DerivativeCloses in 116d

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes1.20x84%

No6.06x17%

4.5M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

4.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

4.3M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes142.86x1%

3.8M vol2 outcomes

Parent For DerivativeCloses in 116d

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No1.20x84%

Yes6.06x17%

3.8M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

3.7M vol2 outcomes

TaxesCloses in 116d

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No1.48x68%

Yes3.08x33%

3.5M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

3.4M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

3.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

2.9M vol2 outcomes

ChinaCloses in 174d

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes21.98x5%

2.8M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

2.7M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

2.6M vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 175d

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.39x4%

2.6M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

2.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.81x6%

2.5M vol2 outcomes

Ukraine Peace DealCloses in 174d

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No1.27x79%

Yes4.65x22%

2.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

2.3M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

2.2M vol2 outcomes

FDVCloses in 175d

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No1.29x78%

Yes4.46x22%

2.2M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

2.2M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

2.2M vol2 outcomes

United StatesCloses in 116d

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No1.80x56%

Yes2.25x45%

2.1M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes71.43x1%

2.1M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes32.26x3%

2.1M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

2M vol2 outcomes

FDVCloses in 175d

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

2M vol2 outcomes

Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecCloses in 174d

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

2M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.20x12%

2M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

2M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

2M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.9M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Yes1.98x51%

No2.02x50%

1.9M vol2 outcomes

United StatesCloses in 116d

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

1.9M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No1.45x69%

Yes3.23x31%

1.9M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.8M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.8M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.8M vol2 outcomes

SenateCloses in 116d

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No1.87x54%

Yes2.15x47%

1.8M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.8M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.7M vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.7M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes1.07x93%

No15.04x7%

1.7M vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 205d

US recession by end of 2026?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

1.7M vol2 outcomes

United StatesCloses in 116d

2026 Balance of Power: Other

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

United StatesCloses in 116d

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No1.68x60%

Yes2.47x41%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

PresidentCloses in 851d

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.6M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.5M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.5M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes71.43x1%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

SenateCloses in 116d

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes1.83x55%

No2.20x46%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.92x17%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.4M vol2 outcomes

ChinaCloses in 174d

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

1.3M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.3M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

1.3M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.3M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

GreenlandCloses in 174d

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes29.85x3%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

United StatesCloses in 116d

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

No1.02x98%

Yes57.14x2%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

NATOCloses in 174d

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.23x5%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

No1.79x56%

Yes2.27x44%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

1.2M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.95x6%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

California MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.65x61%

Yes2.54x39%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 851d

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No1.68x60%

Yes2.47x41%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

1.1M vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes90.91x1%

1M vol2 outcomes

Crypto LegalCloses in 174d

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes36.36x3%

1M vol2 outcomes

Token LaunchCloses in 83d

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes43.48x2%

982.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes37.74x3%

961.6k vol2 outcomes

Supreme Court Closes in 21d

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes80.00x1%

947.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No14.18x7%

924.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

884.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

868k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Yes1.98x51%

No2.02x50%

853.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

851k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

833.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 851d

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes1.71x59%

No2.41x42%

832.1k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.36x74%

Yes3.81x26%

811.3k vol2 outcomes

OpenAI IPO—

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No1.31x77%

Yes4.26x24%

802.6k vol2 outcomes

FDVCloses in 175d

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.53x6%

793.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

780.7k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes1.53x66%

No2.90x35%

767.6k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

765.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Yes1.98x51%

No2.02x50%

748k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

718.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No1.98x51%

Yes2.02x50%

693.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 21d

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes1.94x52%

No2.06x49%

682.2k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

675.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.64x4%

671.1k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes1.65x61%

No2.53x40%

660.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes43.48x2%

656.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?

No1.04x97%

Yes28.57x4%

646.7k vol2 outcomes

SyriaClosed

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

644.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

633k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.12x8%

628.8k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.49x13%

628.7k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

627.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes55.56x2%

615.6k vol2 outcomes

Maine Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.56x64%

No2.78x36%

613k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes71.43x1%

608.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.01x100%

Yes200.00x1%

608k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes48.78x2%

587.9k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

582k vol2 outcomes

Video GamesCloses in 132d

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No1.10x91%

Yes10.53x10%

564.2k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

544.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

No1.57x64%

Yes2.76x36%

539.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

537.5k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

531.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes76.92x1%

528.8k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

No1.01x99%

Yes90.91x1%

524.3k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

522.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

500k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

498.5k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

494.5k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.85x26%

492.7k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

492.1k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

No1.02x98%

Yes60.61x2%

487k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No1.10x91%

Yes11.05x9%

486.7k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Databricks IPO before 2027?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.00x13%

482.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

471.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

469.1k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

No1.03x97%

Yes33.90x3%

467.9k vol2 outcomes

FDVCloses in 175d

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.35x5%

465.9k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes55.56x2%

464.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Discord IPO before 2027?

No1.80x56%

Yes2.26x44%

461.1k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.23x5%

459.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.14x87%

Yes7.91x13%

456.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes38.46x3%

454.2k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

No1.02x98%

Yes62.50x2%

453.5k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

453.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.73x4%

419.8k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.85x26%

415.3k vol2 outcomes

Big TechCloses in 175d

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes1.28x78%

No4.55x22%

411.5k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 175d

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No1.20x84%

Yes6.06x17%

400.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

398.2k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No1.10x91%

Yes11.11x9%

393.6k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes1.38x73%

No3.64x28%

393.2k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

388.3k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes1.03x97%

No35.09x3%

384.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

382.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

364.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes1.56x64%

No2.78x36%

360.1k vol2 outcomes

Maine Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No1.55x65%

Yes2.82x36%

355.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No1.10x91%

Yes10.53x10%

355.4k vol2 outcomes

ScienceCloses in 174d

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes1.50x67%

No2.99x34%

352.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

350.1k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

347.2k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

336.4k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

334.3k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 175d

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No1.23x81%

Yes5.26x19%

333.3k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

325.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

320k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.39x6%

315.6k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.69x5%

314.1k vol2 outcomes

Texas Senate—

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.74x57%

No2.35x43%

313.7k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.01x99%

Yes76.92x1%

311.8k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No1.83x55%

Yes2.20x46%

310.9k vol2 outcomes

Trump X SaudiCloses in 174d

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

309.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

308k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.67x15%

304k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

301.5k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

299.9k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

295.4k vol2 outcomes

OpenAICloses in 174d

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

293.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.57x64%

Yes2.74x37%

290.9k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

289.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

284.9k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

283.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes1.10x91%

No11.49x9%

276.3k vol2 outcomes

SyriaCloses in 174d

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

264.5k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Stripe IPO before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes35.09x3%

262.9k vol2 outcomes

Corporate FinancialsCloses in 175d

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

256.5k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

251.1k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes1.28x78%

No4.55x22%

251k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No1.14x87%

Yes7.97x13%

250.9k vol2 outcomes

Texas Senate—

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No1.75x57%

Yes2.33x43%

246.8k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

245.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Yes1.14x88%

No8.00x13%

238.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 177d

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes1.47x68%

No3.13x32%

235.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes133.33x1%

234k vol2 outcomes

Israel X IranCloses in 174d

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.88x17%

224.8k vol2 outcomes

NuclearCloses in 174d

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

221.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

220.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Brex IPO before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes51.28x2%

220.4k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

219.9k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

No1.01x99%

Yes125.00x1%

218k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

217.2k vol2 outcomes

Token SalesCloses in 175d

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No1.23x81%

Yes5.26x19%

216.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 92d

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

216.5k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.85x26%

214.4k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.39x6%

214.2k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes80.00x1%

210.2k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Celonis IPO before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

209.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.62x15%

205.3k vol2 outcomes

GazaCloses in 174d

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.38x73%

Yes3.65x27%

203.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

202k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

199k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

197.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes58.82x2%

197.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes1.05x96%

No22.22x5%

196.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.09x6%

194.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

192k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

190.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

186.3k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 174d

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.00x4%

185.8k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 175d

StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.32x4%

182.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

182.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes39.22x3%

181.3k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Yes1.04x97%

No29.41x3%

177k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

176.8k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

176.5k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.85x54%

No2.17x46%

175.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.03x98%

Yes40.82x2%

172.5k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

No1.04x96%

Yes27.78x4%

172.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes31.75x3%

171.9k vol2 outcomes

Crypto ListingsCloses in 83d

Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.35x5%

169.4k vol2 outcomes

Crypto ListingsCloses in 175d

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

168.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

166.9k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

166k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Yes1.18x85%

No6.51x15%

165.1k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

165.1k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

162.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.24x6%

160.6k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes68.97x1%

159.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?

No1.01x99%

Yes142.86x1%

158.6k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.26x80%

Yes4.88x21%

157.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

153.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.10x91%

Yes11.05x9%

153k vol2 outcomes

InvitationalClosed

Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

152k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

150.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes39.22x3%

150.5k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Ramp IPO before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

147.4k vol2 outcomes

Big TechClosed

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.73x4%

147.2k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

No1.01x100%

Yes200.00x1%

146.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

China coup attempt before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes42.55x2%

146k vol2 outcomes

Michigan Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

145.5k vol2 outcomes

Ukraine Peace DealCloses in 174d

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

145.2k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes1.38x73%

No3.64x28%

143.2k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

142.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

142.2k vol2 outcomes

Crypto—

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

141.8k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

140.3k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.06x95%

Yes19.05x5%

139.7k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

138.9k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Vanta IPO before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

136k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Deel IPO before 2027?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

134.2k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

133.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes100.00x1%

131.7k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.85x26%

130.8k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

130.2k vol2 outcomes

NATOCloses in 174d

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

129.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.70x6%

129k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 175d

StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.09x6%

128.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 117d

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.01x99%

Yes80.00x1%

127.2k vol2 outcomes

Ukraine Peace DealCloses in 174d

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

126.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.00x13%

123.7k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.03x97%

Yes31.75x3%

121.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

119.4k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Rippling IPO before 2027?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.33x12%

119k vol2 outcomes

SpaceXCloses in 174d

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No1.96x51%

Yes2.04x49%

118.6k vol2 outcomes

CultureCloses in 174d

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

117.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes54.05x2%

116.1k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

115.1k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

114.5k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

114.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

112.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

111.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.42x10%

110.1k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

109.5k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes1.18x85%

No6.45x16%

107.9k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

107.6k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

No1.10x91%

Yes10.53x10%

104.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.31x77%

Yes4.26x24%

103.5k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No1.89x53%

Yes2.13x47%

102.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.66x10%

101.7k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

No1.01x99%

Yes125.00x1%

100.8k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

100.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No1.27x79%

Yes4.76x21%

100.4k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.26x79%

Yes4.78x21%

98.3k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

No1.01x100%

Yes200.00x1%

95.6k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes86.96x1%

93.7k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.01x99%

Yes105.26x1%

93.6k vol2 outcomes

MoviesClosed

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

90.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

89.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.04x96%

Yes23.26x4%

89.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.69x5%

88.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

88.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

No1.01x99%

Yes76.92x1%

88.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.43x70%

Yes3.33x30%

88.1k vol2 outcomes

Michigan Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.37x73%

No3.70x27%

85.6k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.87x13%

85.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.57x64%

Yes2.74x37%

84.4k vol2 outcomes

AICloses in 174d

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

84.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes32.26x3%

84.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

82.2k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

81.2k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

81.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

No1.01x99%

Yes95.24x1%

80.2k vol2 outcomes

Nebraska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes46.51x2%

79.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

76.4k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No1.20x84%

Yes6.06x17%

75.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 116d

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Yes1.32x76%

No4.08x25%

74.9k vol2 outcomes

Iowa Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

No1.72x58%

Yes2.38x42%

71.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

71.1k vol2 outcomes

FiscalCloses in 174d

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.69x13%

70.9k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

68.3k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes500.00x0%

65.9k vol2 outcomes

Iowa Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.72x58%

No2.38x42%

65.6k vol2 outcomes

Trump X Al SharaaCloses in 174d

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

65.2k vol2 outcomes

RussiaCloses in 174d

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

64.1k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

63.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

62.7k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

62.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

No1.00x100%

Yes333.33x0%

61.9k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

No1.28x78%

Yes4.55x22%

61.9k vol2 outcomes

TaxesCloses in 174d

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

61.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

No1.02x99%

Yes66.67x2%

61.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

60.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.85x26%

60.3k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

60.3k vol2 outcomes

Wisconsin Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

No1.26x80%

Yes4.88x21%

58.5k vol2 outcomes

Sam AltmanCloses in 174d

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes1.10x91%

No10.53x10%

57.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

57.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

57.1k vol2 outcomes

Ohio Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

No1.92x52%

Yes2.08x48%

56.9k vol2 outcomes

Nebraska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.61x62%

No2.63x38%

56.8k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

No1.21x83%

Yes5.71x18%

56.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?

No1.00x100%

Yes285.71x0%

56k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.11x90%

Yes9.80x10%

55.9k vol2 outcomes

MoviesCloses in 174d

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No1.30x77%

Yes4.35x23%

55.7k vol2 outcomes

SoccerCloses in 113d

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No1.01x99%

Yes68.97x1%

55.3k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Remote IPO before 2027?

No1.22x82%

Yes5.56x18%

54.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

54.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

54.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

54.5k vol2 outcomes

Ohio Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes1.85x54%

No2.17x46%

54.4k vol2 outcomes

Ohio Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No1.89x53%

Yes2.13x47%

54.3k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.88x17%

53.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes46.51x2%

53k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

49.6k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

48.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

48.2k vol2 outcomes

Rhode Island Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No13.33x8%

48k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Glean IPO before 2027?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

47.8k vol2 outcomes

Gov ReserveCloses in 174d

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

No1.23x81%

Yes5.26x19%

47.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.13x88%

Yes8.58x12%

46k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

44.9k vol2 outcomes

Michigan Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Yes1.19x84%

No6.25x16%

43.7k vol2 outcomes

North Carolina Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

43.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes21.98x5%

43.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.11x90%

Yes9.80x10%

42.7k vol2 outcomes

Montana Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.22x82%

No5.56x18%

42.4k vol2 outcomes

New York Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

42k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

No1.45x69%

Yes3.23x31%

41.7k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes222.22x0%

41.5k vol2 outcomes

Ohio Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.92x52%

No2.08x48%

41k vol2 outcomes

New York Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Yes1.11x90%

No10.00x10%

40.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

No1.37x73%

Yes3.70x27%

40.7k vol2 outcomes

Corporate FinancialsCloses in 175d

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.67x15%

40.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes34.48x3%

40.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.60x13%

40.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 700-800k people?

No1.01x99%

Yes68.97x1%

40.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.28x78%

Yes4.55x22%

40k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.00x13%

37.9k vol2 outcomes

Montana Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes74.07x1%

37.3k vol2 outcomes

Michigan Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

No1.37x73%

Yes3.70x27%

36.8k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

35.5k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

34k vol2 outcomes

LAClosed

Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

33.9k vol2 outcomes

Minnesota Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.10x4%

33k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.32x4%

32.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

32.4k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

32.3k vol2 outcomes

US ElectionCloses in 25d

Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

32k vol2 outcomes

Colorado Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

31.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

No1.03x97%

Yes35.09x3%

31.2k vol2 outcomes

North Carolina Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.15x87%

No7.69x13%

31.2k vol2 outcomes

Sam AltmanCloses in 174d

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

No1.44x70%

Yes3.28x31%

31.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.33x12%

30.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.34x75%

Yes3.92x26%

30k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

No1.29x78%

Yes4.44x23%

29.9k vol2 outcomes

Iowa Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

No1.56x64%

Yes2.78x36%

29.5k vol2 outcomes

Corporate Financials—

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

No1.17x86%

Yes6.90x14%

28.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?

No1.30x77%

Yes4.35x23%

28k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 116d

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.56x64%

Yes2.80x36%

27.6k vol2 outcomes

Minnesota Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

27.6k vol2 outcomes

Trump X MamdaniCloses in 174d

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.80x5%

27.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

No1.21x83%

Yes5.71x18%

26.8k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.64x4%

26.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

26.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes27.78x4%

25.2k vol2 outcomes

Nevada Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

No1.71x59%

Yes2.41x42%

25k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

24.9k vol2 outcomes

Georgia Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Yes1.98x51%

No2.02x50%

24.8k vol2 outcomes

Arizona Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Yes1.29x78%

No4.44x23%

24.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 116d

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.03x97%

Yes29.85x3%

24.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.04x96%

Yes26.32x4%

24.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.87x6%

23.9k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

23.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.02x98%

Yes46.51x2%

23.1k vol2 outcomes

South Carolina Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

22.9k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes—0%

22.9k vol2 outcomes

Georgia Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.30x14%

22.6k vol2 outcomes

Minnesota Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

22.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump resign before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.00x4%

22.3k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.26x12%

22.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes125.00x1%

22.1k vol2 outcomes

Florida Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.18x85%

No6.67x15%

22.1k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.33x12%

21.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will MUNDO-GB  win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

21.8k vol2 outcomes

Iowa Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Yes1.56x64%

No2.78x36%

21.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

21.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

No1.23x82%

Yes5.41x19%

21.2k vol2 outcomes

New Hampshire Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.20x84%

No6.06x17%

21.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes26.67x4%

21.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?

No1.37x73%

Yes3.70x27%

21.1k vol2 outcomes

Georgia Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Yes1.98x51%

No2.02x50%

20.8k vol2 outcomes

Florida Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

No1.19x84%

Yes6.25x16%

20.8k vol2 outcomes

Arizona Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

No1.26x80%

Yes4.88x21%

20.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

No1.23x82%

Yes5.41x19%

20.5k vol2 outcomes

Kansas Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.19x84%

No6.25x16%

20k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

19.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?

No1.52x66%

Yes2.94x34%

19.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.03x97%

Yes36.36x3%

19.2k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

19.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

18.5k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes27.78x4%

18.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

18.4k vol2 outcomes

Massachusetts Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.87x5%

18.4k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

18.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes117.65x1%

18.2k vol2 outcomes

Massachusetts Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

18k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.08x7%

17.5k vol2 outcomes

Gov ReserveCloses in 174d

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

17.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes1.33x75%

No3.99x25%

17.2k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

17k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.64x4%

16.9k vol2 outcomes

South Carolina Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.16x86%

No7.14x14%

16.8k vol2 outcomes

Florida Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

No1.23x82%

Yes5.41x19%

16.8k vol2 outcomes

Mississippi Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.13x89%

No8.70x12%

16.8k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.39x4%

16.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.01x99%

Yes74.07x1%

16.6k vol2 outcomes

Vermont Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Yes1.12x89%

No9.09x11%

16.6k vol2 outcomes

New Mexico Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

Yes1.16x87%

No7.41x14%

16.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.02x98%

Yes58.82x2%

16.1k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.39x6%

16k vol2 outcomes

TaxesCloses in 174d

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

15.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

Yes1.74x57%

No2.35x43%

15.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Obama arrested before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

15.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 116d

Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

15.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No1.04x97%

Yes29.41x3%

15.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 143d

Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.15x10%

15.8k vol2 outcomes

Wisconsin Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Yes1.28x78%

No4.55x22%

15.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

No1.11x90%

Yes9.80x10%

14.9k vol2 outcomes

Georgia Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.16x87%

No7.41x14%

14.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No1.02x98%

Yes45.45x2%

14.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

No1.23x81%

Yes5.26x19%

14.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.69x13%

14.3k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

No1.26x80%

Yes4.88x21%

14.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

No1.22x82%

Yes5.56x18%

14.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

No1.12x89%

Yes9.09x11%

13.7k vol2 outcomes

Tennessee Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.87x6%

13.7k vol2 outcomes

Nebraska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No1.50x67%

Yes2.99x34%

13.5k vol2 outcomes

Illinois Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.05x95%

No21.05x5%

13.5k vol2 outcomes

Florida Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Yes1.22x82%

No5.56x18%

13.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 86d

Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

No1.02x98%

Yes55.56x2%

13.1k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.26x10%

13.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

13k vol2 outcomes

Illinois Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes27.40x4%

12.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.69x13%

12.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 143d

Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.47x4%

12.8k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.50x6%

12.6k vol2 outcomes

Idaho Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No13.33x8%

12.5k vol2 outcomes

Kansas Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.88x17%

12.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsClosed

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No1.01x99%

Yes153.85x1%

12.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 800-900k people?

No1.02x98%

Yes57.14x2%

12.1k vol2 outcomes

MusicCloses in 174d

Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

Yes1.22x82%

No5.56x18%

11.9k vol2 outcomes

Oregon Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Yes1.09x92%

No11.76x9%

11.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes60.61x2%

11.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No1.24x81%

Yes5.13x20%

11.5k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.39x6%

11.5k vol2 outcomes

Oklahoma Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

11.5k vol2 outcomes

Oklahoma Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.18x6%

11.4k vol2 outcomes

AICloses in 174d

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

No1.10x91%

Yes11.30x9%

11.2k vol2 outcomes

Pennsylvania Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.67x6%

11.2k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes250.00x0%

11k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

11k vol2 outcomes

Minnesota Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

11k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.22x82%

Yes5.63x18%

10.8k vol2 outcomes

MusicCloses in 174d

Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?

No1.40x72%

Yes3.51x28%

10.8k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

10.7k vol2 outcomes

Vermont Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

10.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes62.50x2%

10.5k vol2 outcomes

New Hampshire Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

No1.19x84%

Yes6.25x16%

10.5k vol2 outcomes

Oklahoma Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?

Yes1.06x94%

No16.67x6%

10.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.33x8%

10.1k vol2 outcomes

Mississippi Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

10.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

10.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?

No1.01x99%

Yes181.82x1%

9.9k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

9.8k vol2 outcomes

South Dakota Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

9.7k vol2 outcomes

Tennessee Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes35.71x3%

9.6k vol2 outcomes

Colorado Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

9.5k vol2 outcomes

Louisiana MidtermCloses in 116d

Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

9.4k vol2 outcomes

New Jersey Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.05x95%

No20.00x5%

9.4k vol2 outcomes

Maine Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Yes1.11x90%

No10.15x10%

9.3k vol2 outcomes

New Jersey Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.47x4%

9.2k vol2 outcomes

Texas Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Yes1.09x92%

No11.76x9%

9.2k vol2 outcomes

New Mexico Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes21.98x5%

9.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Obama federally charged before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes17.09x6%

9k vol2 outcomes

Kentucky Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.09x91%

No11.56x9%

9k vol2 outcomes

Rhode Island Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes57.14x2%

9k vol2 outcomes

Maryland Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes28.17x4%

8.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 200-300k people?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

8.8k vol2 outcomes

Delaware Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.18x6%

8.7k vol2 outcomes

Virginia Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x94%

No16.67x6%

8.7k vol2 outcomes

Senate Midterms—

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No14.29x7%

8.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?

No1.59x63%

Yes2.70x37%

8.6k vol2 outcomes

Arkansas Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.05x95%

No20.41x5%

8.5k vol2 outcomes

New Mexico Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No14.29x7%

8.4k vol2 outcomes

Nevada Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes1.77x56%

No2.30x44%

8.3k vol2 outcomes

South Carolina Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No14.29x7%

8.2k vol2 outcomes

Oregon Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

No1.10x91%

Yes10.53x10%

8.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport less than 200k people?

No1.02x98%

Yes44.44x2%

7.9k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

7.7k vol2 outcomes

Texas Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes11.76x9%

7.7k vol2 outcomes

Wyoming Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.03x97%

No29.85x3%

7.5k vol2 outcomes

Colorado Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No16.00x6%

7.3k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.01x99%

Yes142.86x1%

7.3k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 174d

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

No1.07x93%

Yes15.15x7%

7.2k vol2 outcomes

Louisiana MidtermCloses in 116d

Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.09x92%

No12.50x8%

7k vol2 outcomes

West Virginia Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.05x95%

No20.62x5%

7k vol2 outcomes

Maryland Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.69x5%

6.9k vol2 outcomes

AICloses in 174d

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Yes1.59x63%

No2.70x37%

6.9k vol2 outcomes

Pennsylvania Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

6.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

No1.05x95%

Yes21.51x5%

6.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

No1.03x98%

Yes40.82x2%

6.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?

No1.05x96%

Yes22.22x5%

6.6k vol2 outcomes

Oklahoma Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.80x5%

6.5k vol2 outcomes

South Carolina Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

6.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

6.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

No1.71x59%

Yes2.41x42%

6.5k vol2 outcomes

Alabama Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x94%

No16.67x6%

6.5k vol2 outcomes

New Mexico Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.33x12%

6.4k vol2 outcomes

Idaho Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

6.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?

No1.01x99%

Yes90.91x1%

6.2k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

No1.10x91%

Yes10.53x10%

6.1k vol2 outcomes

New Hampshire Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

No1.29x78%

Yes4.49x22%

6.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 500-600k people?

No1.19x84%

Yes6.29x16%

6k vol2 outcomes

South Dakota Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No13.89x7%

6k vol2 outcomes

Nebraska Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Yes1.21x83%

No5.71x18%

5.9k vol2 outcomes

Rhode Island Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x94%

No16.67x6%

5.8k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

5.6k vol2 outcomes

South Dakota Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.08x93%

No13.42x7%

5.6k vol2 outcomes

AICloses in 174d

Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

No1.35x74%

Yes3.88x26%

5.6k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

No1.48x68%

Yes3.08x33%

5.6k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Fed abolished before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes51.28x2%

5.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

Yes1.08x92%

No12.99x8%

5.4k vol2 outcomes

Arkansas Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No19.05x5%

5.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump deport 600-700k people?

No1.02x98%

Yes47.62x2%

5.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.67x6%

5.3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

5.2k vol2 outcomes

CryptoCloses in 174d

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes13.79x7%

5.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

No1.16x87%

Yes7.41x14%

5.1k vol2 outcomes

Colorado Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

5.1k vol2 outcomes

Wyoming Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?

Yes1.05x95%

No20.20x5%

5.1k vol2 outcomes

Maine Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes26.67x4%

5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

Yes1.36x74%

No3.77x27%

5k vol2 outcomes

Hawaii Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes35.09x3%

5k vol2 outcomes

West Virginia Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

No1.02x98%

Yes52.63x2%

4.9k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?

No1.05x95%

Yes19.80x5%

4.7k vol2 outcomes

Senate Midterms—

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

4.6k vol2 outcomes

Kentucky Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.39x6%

4.6k vol2 outcomes

Kansas Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

No1.41x71%

Yes3.45x29%

4.5k vol2 outcomes

Wyoming Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes32.26x3%

4.5k vol2 outcomes

Delaware Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

4.3k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?

No1.08x93%

Yes14.29x7%

4.2k vol2 outcomes

Alabama Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

4.2k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.00x13%

4.2k vol2 outcomes

New Hampshire Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

Yes1.37x73%

No3.70x27%

4.2k vol2 outcomes

Idaho Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?

Yes1.04x96%

No25.97x4%

4k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

3.9k vol2 outcomes

Montana Midterm—

Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

No1.19x84%

Yes6.39x16%

3.9k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

No1.03x97%

Yes37.74x3%

3.8k vol2 outcomes

Nebraska Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.88x17%

3.8k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

3.8k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 174d

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

3.7k vol2 outcomes

Alabama Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

Yes1.10x91%

No11.24x9%

3.7k vol2 outcomes

Hawaii Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

3.6k vol2 outcomes

BusinessCloses in 174d

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

No1.07x94%

Yes16.26x6%

3.6k vol2 outcomes

Idaho Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes29.85x3%

3.5k vol2 outcomes

South Dakota Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.63x6%

3.5k vol2 outcomes

Virginia Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

3.5k vol2 outcomes

Arkansas Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.10x4%

3.4k vol2 outcomes

Oregon Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.18x6%

3.3k vol2 outcomes

Tennessee Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?

Yes1.09x91%

No11.56x9%

3.3k vol2 outcomes

Alabama Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.50x8%

3.1k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?

No1.14x88%

Yes8.33x12%

3k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?

No1.03x98%

Yes40.82x2%

3k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

No1.31x76%

Yes4.19x24%

3k vol2 outcomes

Rhode Island Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.83x5%

3k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.08x92%

Yes13.16x8%

2.9k vol2 outcomes

Connecticut Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

2.9k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.69x13%

2.8k vol2 outcomes

Illinois Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?

Yes1.07x94%

No15.38x7%

2.8k vol2 outcomes

Illinois Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

2.7k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

No1.18x85%

Yes6.45x16%

2.7k vol2 outcomes

Kansas Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Yes1.53x66%

No2.90x35%

2.7k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes25.97x4%

2.6k vol2 outcomes

FinanceCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

No1.02x98%

Yes41.67x2%

2.5k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.11x90%

Yes10.00x10%

2.4k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.67x6%

2.4k vol2 outcomes

EconomyCloses in 203d

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

No1.21x83%

Yes5.73x17%

2.4k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

2.4k vol2 outcomes

Connecticut Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?

Yes1.06x95%

No18.18x6%

2.3k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

2.2k vol2 outcomes

Alaska MidtermCloses in 116d

Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No1.00x100%

Yes666.67x0%

2.2k vol2 outcomes

Wyoming Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?

No1.04x96%

Yes27.03x4%

2.1k vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

2k vol2 outcomes

FiscalCloses in 174d

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

No1.15x87%

Yes7.69x13%

1.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No1.20x83%

Yes5.88x17%

1.9k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

No1.22x82%

Yes5.48x18%

1.7k vol2 outcomes

Oregon Midterm—

Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?

No1.06x95%

Yes18.18x6%

1.7k vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Obama divorce before 2027?

No1.04x96%

Yes24.69x4%

1.5k vol2 outcomes

Arkansas Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?

No1.05x95%

Yes20.00x5%

1.4k vol2 outcomes

Tennessee Midterm—

Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?

No1.09x92%

Yes12.74x8%

1.2k vol2 outcomes

Rhode Island Midterm—

Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

No1.03x97%

Yes37.04x3%

953 vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

No1.06x94%

Yes16.67x6%

755 vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?

No1.77x56%

Yes2.30x44%

629 vol2 outcomes

MusicCloses in 174d

Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?

Yes1.12x90%

No9.62x10%

582 vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?

No1.13x89%

Yes8.70x12%

477 vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?

No1.37x73%

Yes3.70x27%

436 vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?

No1.16x86%

Yes7.14x14%

433 vol2 outcomes

TariffsCloses in 174d

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?

No1.12x90%

Yes9.52x11%

409 vol2 outcomes

PoliticsCloses in 174d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

No1.07x94%

Yes15.38x7%

384 vol2 outcomes

Michigan Midterm—

Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

No1.00x100%

Yes400.00x0%

374 vol2 outcomes