Will the US Supreme Court rule in favor of the plaintiff in 'Smith v. United States' by July 28, 2026?

Resolves Yes if The Supreme Court issues a majority opinion favoring the plaintiff in Smith v. United States, case number 25-1234, before 11:59 PM ET on July 28, 2026.

Outcome verified from supremecourt.gov.

1. Market open

   Jul 14, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
2. Market closes

   By Jul 27, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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