Will the UK's NCSC publicly attribute a new cyber campaign to Russian state actors by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Yes if Resolves YES if NCSC-UK publishes a new attribution statement or co-sealed advisory naming Russian state-sponsored actors between July 20 and December 31, 2026 per ncsc.gov.uk.

Outcome verified from ncsc.gov.uk.

1. Market open

   Jul 19, 2026, 4:54 PM UTC
2. Market closes

   Jan 1, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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