Will IDC report Apple's global smartphone shipment share at 20% or higher for full-year 2026?

Resolves Yes if Resolves YES if IDC's preliminary full-year 2026 smartphone tracker (published ~January 2027) shows Apple with at least 20.0% unit share.

Outcome verified from idc.com.

1. Market open

   Jul 19, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC
2. Market closes

   Jan 15, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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