Will CISA publish a joint advisory on Russian FSB or GRU cyber activity co-sealed with at least three foreign partners between July 20 and December 31, 2026?

Resolves Yes if Resolves YES if a new CISA advisory attributing activity to Russian FSB or GRU units, co-sealed by three or more non-U.S. agencies, is published in that window on cisa.gov (the July 2026 AA26-194A advisory does not count).

Outcome verified from cisa.gov.

1. Market open

   Jul 19, 2026, 5:01 PM UTC
2. Market closes

   Jan 1, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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