Resolves Yes if Settles to the outcome the underlying source market resolves to.
Outcome verified from gamma-api.polymarket.com.
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As of mid-2026, Arc has not yet launched a token, and the deadline is only 5.5 months away. Public base rates for token launches show a low success rate for projects that are not already in advanced stages by this point. The probability is moderate but tilted against a launch by year-end.
