🇪🇸vs🇦🇷
Spain 38% — Prediction & Preview
Final · 2026-07-19 · 15:00 EDT · MetLife Stadium, New York/NJ
Bucephus model — win probability
Spain win38%
Draw33%
Argentina win29%
The Bucephus model makes Spain a narrow favourite at 38% to win, with Argentina at 29% and a 33% chance of a draw.
Projected expected goals point to a tight, low-scoring game: Spain 0.0 – 0.0 Argentina.
Final, kick-off 15:00 EDT, at MetLife Stadium, New York/NJ.
Model win probabilities from the Bucephus Dixon-Coles + Elo engine — a data read, not betting advice. Pulse Credits are free and non-convertible.