🏴vs🇦🇷
Argentina 42% — Prediction & Preview
Semi-final · 2026-07-15 · 15:00 EDT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Bucephus model — win probability
England win26%
Draw32%
Argentina win42%
The Bucephus model makes Argentina a moderate favourite at 42% to win, with England at 26% and a 32% chance of a draw.
Projected expected goals point to a tight, low-scoring game: England 0.0 – 0.0 Argentina.
Semi-final, kick-off 15:00 EDT, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
Model win probabilities from the Bucephus Dixon-Coles + Elo engine — a data read, not betting advice. Pulse Credits are free and non-convertible.